Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.360359 0.390075 0.422062 0.459220 0.501410 0.548076 0.603947
2025-01-05 0.295281 0.336704 0.384958 0.446121 0.522767 0.617317 0.745553
2025-01-12 0.248794 0.294019 0.349710 0.424987 0.526834 0.664303 0.872565
2025-01-19 0.216707 0.262866 0.322098 0.406216 0.527226 0.703404 0.998130
2025-01-26 0.201566 0.250584 0.316013 0.413567 0.562989 0.798884 1.240725
2025-02-02 0.193887 0.246765 0.320097 0.434877 0.622483 0.945947 1.637435
2025-02-09 0.182231 0.235939 0.312552 0.436967 0.650943 1.047547 2.000358
2025-02-16 0.169596 0.222396 0.299322 0.427816 0.657820 1.110035 2.312417
2025-02-23 0.160735 0.213478 0.291979 0.426946 0.678896 1.207075 2.786604
2025-03-02 0.151467 0.203171 0.281425 0.419093 0.685007 1.273363 3.228524
2025-03-09 0.143117 0.193626 0.271190 0.410443 0.687799 1.332905 3.711003
2025-03-16 0.135797 0.185153 0.261956 0.402437 0.690384 1.393077 4.273034
2025-03-23 0.131918 0.182043 0.261673 0.411694 0.733823 1.585988 5.826565
2025-03-30 0.124903 0.173648 0.252086 0.402638 0.735722 1.665725 7.005484
2025-04-06 0.117055 0.163498 0.238842 0.385179 0.715252 1.670389 7.741703
2025-04-13 0.110117 0.154456 0.226914 0.369177 0.695811 1.673236 8.547751
2025-04-20 0.107362 0.152034 0.226262 0.375658 0.733215 1.893402 12.599322
2025-04-27 0.106575 0.152761 0.231166 0.394160 0.806619 2.307812 24.599854
2025-05-04 0.103455 0.149389 0.228395 0.395984 0.835444 2.563829 41.351141
2025-05-11 0.099271 0.143993 0.221533 0.388069 0.834629 2.681719 60.357468
2025-05-18 0.096311 0.140538 0.218044 0.387318 0.855286 2.934011 121.303797
2025-05-25 0.092803 0.135969 0.212168 0.380512 0.855905 3.079056 233.008689
2025-06-01 0.089439 0.131504 0.206233 0.373004 0.852943 3.205409 533.368367